São José vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
AUD
49%
23%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
RBB
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
SEP
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUD
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 3
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
ATL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
RBB
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |