CA Joseense vs Atlético Mogi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
SJS
3 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
SJS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 0
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BEB
3 - 1
SJS
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SJS
1 - 0
CAT
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
MAN
7%
17%
76%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 1
UNI
6%
15%
79%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MOG
83%
12%
5%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
6 - 1
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MOG
0 - 6
MAN
13%
17%
71%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |