Série A Final
Global 2-4
São Caetano vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
GRE
1 - 3
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2000 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAL
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 4
SAO
86%
10%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
FLU
0 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CRZ
1 - 3
VAS
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 4
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 2
CRZ
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAS
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
VAS
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |