São Caetano vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 2
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |