São Caetano vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
67%
22%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 0
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |