São Caetano vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 3
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OES
0 - 2
SAO
59%
23%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
OES
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OES
2 - 1
POR
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
OES
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
OES
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OES
0 - 2
SAO
59%
23%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |