São Caetano vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FFL
2 - 2
SAO
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
FFL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FFL
1 - 2
COT
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 2
FFL
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |