São Caetano vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
ITU
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |