São Caetano vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOA
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
PPE
35%
26%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
DUQ
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
VIT
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 2
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |