São Caetano vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
SPO
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
COT
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AMF
0 - 1
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AMF
3 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
AMF
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AMF
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |