São Bernardo FC vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
5 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
JUV
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 5
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
AUD
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
ITU
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
PAU
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ITU
15%
24%
62%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |