São Bernardo FC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 2
SAO
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
COR
14%
25%
60%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COR
3 - 2
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
PPE
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CIA
0 - 3
COR
7%
23%
71%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |