São Bento vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
RBB
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MON
3 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
BAT
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |