Sanvicenteño vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SNV
1 - 1
LOB
17%
21%
62%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CPC
1 - 2
SNV
45%
25%
29%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CPA
2 - 1
SNV
43%
25%
33%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SNV
1 - 2
GUA
25%
24%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAD
4 - 0
SNV
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
4 - 0
CPC
74%
17%
10%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
GEV
3 - 1
SMA
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CPO
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDS
3 - 1
SMA
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
GEV
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |