Tercera Division G3 round 38

Santurtzi vs Bergara KE analysis

Santurtzi Bergara KE
34 ELO 18
-7.8% Tilt -10.2%
10853º General ELO ranking 13259º
482º Country ELO ranking 1034º
ELO win probability
83.1%
Santurtzi
13%
Draw
3.9%
Bergara KE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
Santurtzi
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.9%
Win probability
Bergara KE
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santurtzi
-23%
-6%
Bergara KE

ELO progression

Santurtzi
Bergara KE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santurtzi
Santurtzi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 1986
TOL
Tolosa CF
0 - 1
Santurtzi
SNT
39%
29%
32%
33 27 6 0
04 May. 1986
SNT
Santurtzi
2 - 1
Real Unión Club
RUN
62%
22%
16%
33 27 6 0
27 Apr. 1986
HER
CD Hernani
0 - 2
Santurtzi
SNT
41%
28%
31%
32 24 8 +1
20 Apr. 1986
SNT
Santurtzi
1 - 1
Santutxu
SFC
72%
19%
10%
32 23 9 0
13 Apr. 1986
SDE
SD Erandio
1 - 1
Santurtzi
SNT
56%
24%
20%
32 28 4 0

Matches

Bergara KE
Bergara KE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 1986
BKE
Bergara KE
0 - 2
CD Basconia
BAS
22%
28%
50%
19 33 14 0
04 May. 1986
CDU
SCD Durango
2 - 0
Bergara KE
BKE
83%
12%
5%
19 30 11 0
27 Apr. 1986
BKE
Bergara KE
2 - 1
SD Amorebieta
SDA
19%
29%
52%
17 33 16 +2
20 Apr. 1986
BAR
Barakaldo
1 - 0
Bergara KE
BKE
90%
8%
2%
17 36 19 0
13 Apr. 1986
BKE
Bergara KE
2 - 4
SD Gernika
GER
27%
30%
43%
18 27 9 -1