CBF Brasileiro U20 1ra Fase Jor. 5

Santos Sub 20 vs Fluminense Sub 20 analysis

Santos Sub 20 Fluminense Sub 20
46 ELO 39
14.8% Tilt 3.6%
4800º General ELO ranking 6069º
179º Country ELO ranking 256º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Santos Sub 20
20.4%
Draw
19.5%
Fluminense Sub 20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
Santos Sub 20
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.5%
Win probability
Fluminense Sub 20
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos Sub 20
-6%
-33%
Fluminense Sub 20

ELO progression

Santos Sub 20
Fluminense Sub 20
RB Bragantino Sub 20
Ceará Sub 20
Palmeiras Sub 20
Grêmio Sub 20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos Sub 20
Santos Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2024
SAN
Santos Sub 20
1 - 3
Flamengo Sub 20
FLA
42%
25%
33%
46 51 5 0
17 Apr. 2024
ATL
Athlético PR Sub 20
1 - 1
Santos Sub 20
SAN
52%
22%
26%
45 45 0 +1
10 Apr. 2024
SAN
Santos Sub 20
5 - 2
Ceará Sub 20
CEA
66%
19%
15%
45 37 8 0
06 Apr. 2024
INT
Internacional Sub 20
2 - 3
Santos Sub 20
SAN
37%
25%
38%
44 40 4 +1
17 Jan. 2024
SAN
Santos Sub 20
0 - 3
Cruzeiro Sub 20
CRU
53%
21%
26%
45 41 4 -1

Matches

Fluminense Sub 20
Fluminense Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2024
BOT
Botafogo Sub 20
0 - 0
Fluminense Sub 20
FLU
47%
24%
29%
40 42 2 0
17 Apr. 2024
FLU
Fluminense Sub 20
1 - 0
Goiás U20s
GOI
47%
25%
29%
39 36 3 +1
09 Apr. 2024
FLU
Fluminense Sub 20
0 - 1
Bahia Sub 20
BAH
65%
19%
17%
40 30 10 -1
03 Apr. 2024
CRU
Cruzeiro Sub 20
3 - 1
Fluminense Sub 20
FLU
50%
24%
26%
41 44 3 -1
12 Jan. 2024
FLU
Fluminense Sub 20
2 - 3
Ituano Sub 20
ITU
71%
17%
11%
41 7 34 0
X