Liga MX Finals Ap. 1/16

Santos Laguna vs Mazatlán analysis

Santos Laguna Mazatlán
77 ELO 70
18.3% Tilt 15.4%
779º General ELO ranking 1023º
14º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Santos Laguna
20.4%
Draw
18.6%
Mazatlán

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Santos Laguna
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.6%
Win probability
Mazatlán
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos Laguna
-22%
+6%
Mazatlán

ELO progression

Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
AUR
Atl. San Luis
0 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
35%
25%
40%
76 73 3 0
09 Nov. 2023
MON
Monterrey
3 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
50%
24%
26%
77 82 5 -1
06 Nov. 2023
SAN
Santos Laguna
3 - 1
Toluca
TOL
38%
25%
38%
76 82 6 +1
02 Nov. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
29%
25%
47%
77 70 7 -1
30 Oct. 2023
SAN
Santos Laguna
5 - 1
FC Juárez
JUA
63%
21%
16%
77 69 8 0

Matches

Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
26%
25%
49%
70 81 11 0
05 Nov. 2023
NEC
Necaxa
4 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
37%
27%
36%
71 68 3 -1
02 Nov. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
29%
25%
47%
70 77 7 +1
28 Oct. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
3 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
47%
26%
27%
70 70 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
1 - 3
Mazatlán
MAZ
56%
25%
19%
69 79 10 +1