Liga MX Apertura round 16

Santos Laguna vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis

Santos Laguna Chivas Guadalajara
74 ELO 84
10.4% Tilt 10.7%
788º General ELO ranking 319º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.9%
Santos Laguna
27.8%
Draw
37.4%
Chivas Guadalajara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
Santos Laguna
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.4%
Win probability
Chivas Guadalajara
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos Laguna
-18%
-3%
Chivas Guadalajara

Points and table prediction

Santos Laguna
Their league position
Chivas Guadalajara
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
18º
18º
25
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cruz Azul
42
42
100%
Toluca
35
35
100%
Tigres UANL
34
34
100%
Monterrey
31
31
0%
Pumas UNAM
31
31
0%
Atl. San Luis
30
30
100%
América
27
27
100%
Tijuana
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
25
25
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
10º
22
22
10º
100%
León
11º
18
18
11º
100%
FC Juárez
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Necaxa
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Puebla
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Mazatlán
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Pachuca
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Querétaro
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Santos Laguna
Chivas Guadalajara
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Santos Laguna
Chivas Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
60%
22%
18%
75 84 9 0
26 Oct. 2024
SAN
Santos Laguna
0 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
48%
25%
27%
75 76 1 0
23 Oct. 2024
SAN
Santos Laguna
1 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
35%
26%
40%
74 82 8 +1
20 Oct. 2024
AME
América
3 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
62%
21%
17%
75 84 9 -1
07 Oct. 2024
SAN
Santos Laguna
0 - 2
FC Juárez
JUA
60%
22%
19%
75 70 5 0

Matches

Chivas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
50%
25%
26%
84 82 2 0
26 Oct. 2024
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
31%
28%
42%
84 70 14 0
23 Oct. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
62%
22%
16%
84 76 8 0
20 Oct. 2024
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
50%
25%
26%
84 82 2 0
14 Oct. 2024
AME
América
2 - 0
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
53%
24%
23%
83 83 0 +1