Liga MX Apertura round 12

Santos Laguna vs Celaya analysis

Santos Laguna Celaya
77 ELO 68
7.9% Tilt 2.8%
780º General ELO ranking 830º
14º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Santos Laguna
19.4%
Draw
15.3%
Celaya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
Santos Laguna
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
Celaya
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santos Laguna
-26%
+2%
Celaya

ELO progression

Santos Laguna
Celaya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2002
SNL
San Luis
1 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
39%
26%
35%
77 74 3 0
28 Sep. 2002
SAN
Santos Laguna
4 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
56%
24%
20%
77 77 0 0
22 Sep. 2002
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
53%
24%
23%
76 78 2 +1
15 Sep. 2002
SAN
Santos Laguna
3 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
47%
25%
28%
76 80 4 0
12 Sep. 2002
EST
Tecos
2 - 1
Santos Laguna
SAN
38%
25%
38%
76 70 6 0

Matches

Celaya
Celaya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2002
TOR
Celaya
2 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
44%
25%
31%
68 72 4 0
28 Sep. 2002
SNL
San Luis
1 - 1
Celaya
TOR
63%
21%
16%
68 74 6 0
21 Sep. 2002
TOR
Celaya
2 - 1
Atlas Guadalajara
ATS
29%
26%
45%
67 77 10 +1
15 Sep. 2002
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 2
Celaya
TOR
66%
21%
13%
68 77 9 -1
11 Sep. 2002
TOR
Celaya
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
25%
26%
49%
67 81 14 +1