Santos FC vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
4 - 1
MOG
42%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 0
NOR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 5
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |