Série A round 23

Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis

Santos FC Fluminense
82 ELO 84
-6.3% Tilt -12.6%
107º General ELO ranking 82º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.3%
Santos FC
26.5%
Draw
38.1%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Santos FC
Fluminense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
50%
26%
24%
82 81 1 0
18 Oct. 2021
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
25%
28%
48%
82 72 10 0
14 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
71%
18%
11%
82 90 8 0
10 Oct. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
33%
27%
40%
81 86 5 +1
07 Oct. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
59%
23%
18%
81 86 5 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
20%
23%
58%
84 90 6 0
17 Oct. 2021
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
45%
26%
30%
84 84 0 0
14 Oct. 2021
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
45%
25%
30%
84 84 0 0
09 Oct. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 0
Atlético GO
ATL
53%
24%
23%
84 81 3 0
07 Oct. 2021
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
49%
25%
26%
84 83 1 0