Santos FC vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 2
AVA
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
COR
31%
30%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATM
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |