Paulista A1 round 15

Santos FC vs Audax São Paulo analysis

Santos FC Audax São Paulo
86 ELO 63
9.6% Tilt -5.4%
107º General ELO ranking 26103º
15º Country ELO ranking 687º
ELO win probability
80.6%
Santos FC
13.6%
Draw
5.8%
Audax São Paulo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
Santos FC
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
Audax São Paulo
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Santos FC
Audax São Paulo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2016
CAP
Capivariano
3 - 5
Santos FC
SAN
15%
25%
60%
86 55 31 0
01 Apr. 2016
SAN
Santos FC
4 - 1
Ferroviária
FER
83%
13%
5%
86 62 24 0
27 Mar. 2016
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
64%
21%
16%
86 82 4 0
20 Mar. 2016
RIO
Rio Claro
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
14%
24%
62%
86 57 29 0
15 Mar. 2016
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
0 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
18%
25%
57%
86 56 30 0

Matches

Audax São Paulo
Audax São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2016
AUD
Audax São Paulo
2 - 1
São Bento
SAO
44%
26%
30%
63 62 1 0
31 Mar. 2016
OES
Oeste
1 - 3
Audax São Paulo
AUD
32%
26%
42%
62 60 2 +1
26 Mar. 2016
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
Audax São Paulo
AUD
27%
24%
49%
62 54 8 0
23 Mar. 2016
AUD
Audax São Paulo
0 - 0
Linense CA
LIN
49%
25%
26%
63 59 4 -1
20 Mar. 2016
AUD
Audax São Paulo
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
19%
24%
58%
61 81 20 +2