Santos FC vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
23%
27%
51%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 0
POR
49%
25%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 1
PPE
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |