Santos AP vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MIX
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
IAP
1 - 4
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
SAN
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 2
MIX
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAC
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 1
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 1
ARA
59%
23%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |