Santomera vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
11º
10º
17
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 70 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 67 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 64 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 61 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 58 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 57 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 56 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 54 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 52 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 51 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 50 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 45 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 23 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 20 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 17 |
18º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALC
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
MIN
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 3
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
EGP
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 0
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
IMP
34%
25%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
DPM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |