Santo André vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 0
MOG
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 3
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 2
COR
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
NOR
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |