Santo André vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
JEC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHA
19%
26%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |