Santiago Morning vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 3
OHI
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ANT
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
HUA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 3
PAL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 3
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |