Santarcangelo vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASL
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAV
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 5
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
CAR
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |