Santacruzense vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 1
COM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 3
AUD
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |