Paulista B Primera Fase Jor. 9

Santacruzense vs Itararé analysis

Santacruzense Itararé
31 ELO 32
-12.3% Tilt -2%
25439º General ELO ranking 39215º
683º Country ELO ranking 1145º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Santacruzense
23.9%
Draw
33.6%
Itararé

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Santacruzense
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.6%
Win probability
Itararé
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Santacruzense
Itararé
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santacruzense
Santacruzense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2019
SAN
Santacruzense
0 - 0
Vocem
VOC
53%
23%
24%
31 30 1 0
04 May. 2019
MAR
Marília
1 - 1
Santacruzense
SAN
67%
20%
13%
31 43 12 0
28 Apr. 2019
ASS
Assisense
2 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
20%
23%
57%
33 22 11 -2
21 Apr. 2019
SAN
Santacruzense
3 - 0
Elosport
ELO
52%
22%
26%
32 26 6 +1
14 Apr. 2019
AAI
Itararé
5 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
26%
22%
52%
34 28 6 -2

Matches

Itararé
Itararé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2019
ELO
Elosport
0 - 2
Itararé
AAI
26%
24%
51%
31 24 7 0
05 May. 2019
AAI
Itararé
0 - 0
Assisense
ASS
48%
23%
29%
31 25 6 0
28 Apr. 2019
AAI
Itararé
0 - 0
Vocem
VOC
52%
24%
25%
31 28 3 0
21 Apr. 2019
MAR
Marília
0 - 0
Itararé
AAI
69%
18%
12%
31 43 12 0
14 Apr. 2019
AAI
Itararé
5 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
26%
22%
52%
28 34 6 +3
X