UD Santa Marta U19 vs DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
39
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
95% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 2
SAN
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
0 - 4
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDI
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
SAN
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 3
PUE
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COL
5 - 1
ZON
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
COL
5 - 0
VIC
34%
25%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 0
COL
42%
24%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
CIA
12%
18%
69%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDP
5 - 0
COL
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |