Saint Lucia vs Saint Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
LCA
12%
17%
72%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 2
LCA
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 2
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HTI
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
LCA
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 2
GRD
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AIA
1 - 2
MAF
14%
16%
69%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BES
0 - 4
MAF
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |