Saint Lucia vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HTI
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LCA
1 - 2
SXM
72%
16%
13%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
KNA
0 - 0
LCA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 1
GLP
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ABW
0 - 2
CUW
10%
15%
76%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
ABW
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ABW
5 - 1
CYM
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |