Santa Helena vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
0 - 2
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANA
51%
22%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
IPO
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
0 - 1
ANA
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
1 - 2
GOI
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
CNO
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
CNO
6 - 0
APA
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | -1 |