Santa Gema vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 2
GEM
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 1
GEM
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
GEM
2 - 1
TAU
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 2
GEM
50%
27%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
SMI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
ARA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
COS
3 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 2
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |