Santa Fe vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
ONC
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
SFE
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 2
AGU
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
MIL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 1
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |