Santa Fe vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
SFE
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
SFE
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SFE
3 - 4
HUI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CUC
1 - 0
SFE
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 0
PAS
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
AGU
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
CUC
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |