Potiguar Jor. 2

Santa Cruz RN vs Baraunas analysis

Santa Cruz RN Baraunas
39 ELO 43
-11.3% Tilt -6.6%
5624º General ELO ranking 8389º
229º Country ELO ranking 352º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Santa Cruz RN
26.5%
Draw
33%
Baraunas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
Santa Cruz RN
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33%
Win probability
Baraunas
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santa Cruz RN
+47%
+46%
Baraunas

ELO progression

Santa Cruz RN
Baraunas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Cruz RN
Santa Cruz RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
PAL
Palmeira
1 - 3
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
45%
25%
30%
39 39 0 0
10 Apr. 2014
ABC
ABC
3 - 1
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
78%
15%
7%
39 59 20 0
06 Apr. 2014
COR
Coríntians RN
1 - 2
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
53%
24%
23%
38 41 3 +1
29 Mar. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 3
Potiguar Mossoró
POT
42%
26%
32%
40 40 0 -2
27 Mar. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 2
América RN
ARN
11%
20%
69%
40 64 24 0

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2015
BAR
Baraunas
0 - 1
Globo
GLO
33%
26%
41%
43 47 4 0
21 Sep. 2014
CEN
Central SC
5 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
53%
25%
22%
44 48 4 -1
14 Sep. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
2 - 0
Jacuipense
JAC
27%
26%
47%
42 49 7 +2
07 Sep. 2014
COR
Coruripe
1 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
60%
22%
19%
42 47 5 0
24 Aug. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
3 - 0
Campinense
CAM
22%
26%
52%
40 52 12 +2
X