Santa Cruz RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ACD
1 - 4
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
16%
21%
64%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
POT
4 - 2
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASS
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ACD
0 - 4
BAR
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
SGO
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
MEC
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |