Série B Brazil round 25

Santa Cruz vs Luverdense analysis

Santa Cruz Luverdense
67 ELO 61
-4.3% Tilt -2.3%
3608º General ELO ranking 4920º
113º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Santa Cruz
25.6%
Draw
19.9%
Luverdense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
Santa Cruz
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.9%
Win probability
Luverdense
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Santa Cruz
Luverdense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2015
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
50%
26%
24%
66 64 2 0
05 Sep. 2015
ABC
ABC
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
33%
27%
40%
67 59 8 -1
02 Sep. 2015
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
38%
28%
34%
66 70 4 +1
29 Aug. 2015
PAR
Paraná
3 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
35%
29%
37%
67 63 4 -1
22 Aug. 2015
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
55%
24%
20%
66 59 7 +1

Matches

Luverdense
Luverdense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2015
LUV
Luverdense
1 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
46%
27%
27%
62 62 0 0
05 Sep. 2015
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 3
Luverdense
LUV
47%
27%
26%
61 60 1 +1
02 Sep. 2015
LUV
Luverdense
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
52%
26%
23%
61 59 2 0
29 Aug. 2015
AMF
América Mineiro
1 - 2
Luverdense
LUV
69%
21%
11%
60 71 11 +1
22 Aug. 2015
LUV
Luverdense
5 - 1
Náutico
NAU
41%
28%
32%
59 61 2 +1