Santa Cruz PA vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
SCP
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 2
GAV
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 1
SCP
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
IAC
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 2
PAR
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PRI
1 - 2
PAY
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 2
PAY
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
6 - 1
PRI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
REM
1 - 1
PAY
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
4 - 0
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |