UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-8
Sant Julià vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCR
2 - 1
SJU
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
5 - 1
LUS
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
1 - 0
SCO
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SJU
1 - 1
FCR
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 0
SJU
22%
21%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
NKD
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
RUD
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
NKN
1 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |