J1 League round 17

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Júbilo Iwata analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Júbilo Iwata
76 ELO 75
10.4% Tilt 11.2%
262º General ELO ranking 812º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24.1%
Draw
26.5%
Júbilo Iwata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
Júbilo Iwata
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
+10%
-7%
Júbilo Iwata

ELO progression

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Júbilo Iwata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2012
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
2 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
48%
26%
26%
75 79 4 0
27 Jun. 2012
URA
Urawa Reds
3 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
34%
25%
41%
76 75 1 -1
23 Jun. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 - 0
Omiya Ardija
OMI
72%
18%
10%
76 65 11 0
16 Jun. 2012
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
50%
23%
27%
76 74 2 0
09 Jun. 2012
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
59%
21%
21%
75 70 5 +1

Matches

Júbilo Iwata
Júbilo Iwata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2012
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
3 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
46%
26%
29%
75 77 2 0
27 Jun. 2012
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
4 - 0
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
47%
24%
30%
75 79 4 0
23 Jun. 2012
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 0
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
53%
24%
23%
76 79 3 -1
16 Jun. 2012
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
1 - 3
Vissel Kobe
VIS
67%
20%
13%
76 67 9 0
09 Jun. 2012
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
0 - 1
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
52%
22%
26%
76 79 3 0