San Simón vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AYA
4 - 0
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
APO
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 5
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
HUA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |