San Severo vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
SSE
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 0
PIC
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AGR
3 - 3
SSE
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 3
BIS
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 1
SSE
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
CYN
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 3
NAR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 2
GEL
43%
28%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FBC
0 - 2
NAR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CSV
0 - 0
NAR
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |