San Roque de Lepe vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
SRQ
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 1
SRQ
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
AGD
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
SRQ
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
POL
4 - 1
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |