Luparense vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 3
SAN
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEL
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CJA
2 - 2
SAN
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 2
ADB
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
LEV
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
LEV
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SDA
3 - 0
MES
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
SPI
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MES
0 - 4
DEL
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |