San Marzano vs Cynthialbalonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
18º
10º
46
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ANZ
1 - 0
SMR
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
CAV
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 3
SMR
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 2
CSO
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 2
SMR
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cynthialbalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CYN
1 - 2
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CYN
1 - 1
BOR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLA
0 - 1
CYN
15%
25%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CYN
0 - 1
CAV
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
CYN
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |